Hi there, Happy New Year! It's business as usual here on my site, but please note that the pandemic is still causing disruptions with Royal Mail, so you order might take longer to arrive, and apologies if you are still waiting for your parcel... in some areas they are taking up to a month to arrive. Please also note that I am not currently sending orders outside of the UK again due to postal disruptions. I hope to do so again in a few weeks. Thank you and keep safe, Lucy x

The simplest explanation is the most likely one!

I love this theory. The definition of which is: 

'Occam's razor is the problem-solving principle that essentially states that simpler solutions are more likely to be correct than complex ones. When presented with competing hypotheses to solve a problem, one should select the solution with the fewest assumptions.'

I find this strangely reassuring. So an example. When the children have been ill, presenting with a few different symptoms, I have tended to get myself in a panic about what it could be, and usually I ended up with a worst case scenario, which I'm glad to say did turn out to be wrong on several occasions. So when my son had a nasty bug and was off for a couple of weeks last term, one of our hens also happened to be ill. I came to the conclusion that my son had contracted some terrible form of terminal bird flu from the hen. When in actual fact he had just picked up a virus from school, and the hen had a bit of diarrhoea. I think employing the logic that it's likely to be the most obvious and simplest explanation is really rather comforting! Lucy x

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